This week I would like to discuss the formation of the cup & handle pattern that is currently forming on the Bitcoin weekly chart.
The Cup & Handle is amongst a handful of very reliable trend continuation price patterns.
Source: Tradingview.com
For me, this pattern now takes center stage, as the recent drop from just close to $70,000 to just below the $50,000 level has eradicated a potential Wyckoff pattern on the daily chart ever playing out.
Source: Tradingview.com
Gold also recently ignited a cup & handle pattern and after breaking $2,100 and quickly rose to just shy of $2,500, further underscoring the effectiveness of this pattern.
Source: Tradingview.com
One of the many golden rules of the cup & handle pattern is it must form during an uptrend in order for it to be valid. Bitcoin certainly fits that category.
Another golden rule for the cup & handle pattern, specifically the handle formation, is that this very important part of the pattern should not exceed certain measurements.
Source: Tradingview.com
Ideally, the depth of the forming handle should not exceed a value equal to ½ of the depth of the cup.
I am pleased to say that during this weeks dip Bitcoin has not got anywhere near a 1/2 or percent of the cup size. So the pattern remains very valid.
Also, a sharp surge in volume should accompany the moment of breaking through the price level needed to start the breakout. This looks to be around the $70,000 area.
Source: Tradingview.com
This part is currently speculative, but keep a mental note to check BTC volume around $70,000 and especially if a new ATH is made.
How far should the price rally to once the pattern is eventually and inevitably ignited?
The target level for this pattern is the height of the cup, laid up from the resistance level.
Very broadly, Bitcoin should therefore go towards $110,000 to $120,000 level judging by the target.
This seems about right.
Source: Tradingview.com
However, it's important to note that the Crypto Total Market Cap has now formed a Cup & Handle pattern like Bitcoin.
This could suggest that altcoins are going to lag Bitcoin and BTC is going to steal the show.
Fundamentally, this makes sense if we consider the ETF vehicle used by funds and the possible Trump victory ahead.
